Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +9 (102-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Love * | 37 | 10-20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 35 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 22 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Ricky Rubio | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameer Nelson * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 32 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| JJ Redick | 27 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter