Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +1 (95-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greivis Vasquez * | 45 | 9-20 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 33 | 9-16 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Austin Rivers * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Davis | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dominic McGuire | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 42 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 37 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 30 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 26 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Victor Claver | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Will Barton | 7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter