Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -25 (97-122). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Andre Miller | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 20 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 19 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Evan Fournier | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Quincy Miller | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 26 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 21 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| John Salmons * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 13-15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Francisco Garcia | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| James Johnson | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 18 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Travis Outlaw | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter