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Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 26.6% 73.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% - โœ—
Margin 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.4% 36.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -13 (98-111). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 41 7-13 0-0 3-3 11 5 3 2 5 17 20 -
Kobe Bryant * 40 12-21 2-6 8-9 4 6 1 0 5 34 19 -
Metta World Peace * 34 6-10 3-4 4-6 16 1 4 2 1 19 31 -
Chris Duhon * 29 5-11 4-10 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 14 7 -
Devin Ebanks * 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jodie Meeks 36 4-10 2-8 2-2 2 1 4 0 1 12 8 -
Darius Morris 18 5-8 3-5 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 15 9 -
Antawn Jamison 13 0-2 0-1 0-2 3 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Robert Sacre 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Earl Clark 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Evan Turner * 42 6-16 0-1 4-4 4 6 0 1 2 16 9 -
Nick Young * 41 12-23 6-12 0-1 4 2 1 0 0 30 14 -
Thaddeus Young * 32 7-10 0-0 0-1 6 1 1 1 5 14 8 -
Jason Richardson * 28 3-8 2-6 1-3 1 0 1 2 2 9 3 -
Kwame Brown * 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 3 1 2 12 -
Dorell Wright 26 3-9 0-2 0-0 7 9 0 0 4 6 9 -
Spencer Hawes 23 7-12 2-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 16 8 -
Damien Wilkins 10 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 2 2 0 0 3 5 -
Lavoy Allen 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Royal Ivey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Maalik Wayns 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter