Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +7 (103-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 41 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 14-15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 40 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 21 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Greg Smith | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Terrence Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Calderon * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 32 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Amir Johnson | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Alan Anderson | 25 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 9-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 23 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Linas Kleiza | 19 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| John Lucas III | 11 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter