Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -13 (86-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 37 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 37 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 10 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 33 | 8-17 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley | 16 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
* = starter