Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -26 (85-111). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Willie Green * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 28 | 8-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 22 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Daniels * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 30 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -3 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Doron Lamb | 26 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| John Henson | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Joel Przybilla | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter