Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (77-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 43 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| George Hill * | 38 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| David West * | 30 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 26 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Sam Young | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 33 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 33 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey | 32 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Andre Drummond | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Corey Maggette | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter