Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -22 (93-115). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 6-20 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| David Lee * | 33 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 29 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Carl Landry | 28 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Draymond Green | 20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Tyler | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 23 | 1-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Lou Williams | 26 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| John Jenkins | 16 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Devin Harris | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mike Scott | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Johan Petro | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter