Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (99-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 35 | 10-21 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 20 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 18 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 37 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Andre Miller | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter