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2012-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 73.3% 26.7% -3.4 โœ— (18.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 66.1% 33.9% - โœ—
Margin 62.4% 37.6% -2.8 โœ— (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.1% 31.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.7% 43.3% - โœ—

Actual: Phoenix Suns +15 (99-84). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Jefferson * 34 6-16 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 3 0 14 13 -
Randy Foye * 32 3-13 1-4 3-4 2 1 2 0 1 10 1 -
Mo Williams * 28 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 7 0 0 3 4 6 -
Paul Millsap * 28 5-7 0-0 2-4 7 5 1 1 2 12 17 -
Marvin Williams * 27 5-8 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 11 8 -
DeMarre Carroll 20 4-9 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 8 4 -
Derrick Favors 16 4-8 0-0 3-4 8 1 1 1 2 11 12 -
Earl Watson 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 3 1 -
Gordon Hayward 15 0-5 0-2 3-4 0 1 2 0 1 3 0 -
Enes Freedom 13 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 6 5 -
Alec Burks 2 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Jeremy Evans 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jared Dudley * 43 9-12 2-4 2-2 4 5 3 0 2 22 20 -
Goran Dragic * 34 6-14 0-2 5-6 2 5 2 0 1 17 11 -
Marcin Gortat * 33 5-12 0-0 2-2 14 3 0 2 0 12 19 -
Shannon Brown * 32 2-5 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 6 5 -
Luis Scola * 13 2-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
Michael Beasley 18 3-9 2-2 3-4 3 3 0 3 2 11 9 -
Markieff Morris 17 2-5 1-1 0-0 6 2 0 3 0 5 11 -
P.J. Tucker 15 5-8 0-1 0-2 4 1 1 0 1 10 7 -
Jermaine O'Neal 14 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 2 7 4 -
Sebastian Telfair 11 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 5 3 -
Wesley Johnson 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Diante Garrett 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Luke Zeller 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter