Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -11 (102-113). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 39 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 37 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 35 | 4-18 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 34 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 31 | 14-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 18 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 22 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Josh Howard | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greivis Vasquez * | 42 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 39 | 8-17 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Austin Rivers * | 37 | 9-14 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Davis | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 19 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Darius Miller | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter