Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +10 (95-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Turner * | 41 | 9-16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Nick Young * | 37 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 29 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 24 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Maalik Wayns | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 39 | 9-17 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 22 | - |
| George Hill * | 39 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 34 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 32 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| David West * | 32 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Sam Young | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter