Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -6 (96-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 43 | 9-29 | 1-8 | 11-13 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Devin Ebanks * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 30 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Darius Morris | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Antawn Jamison | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martell Webster * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 35 | 5-17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 36 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 32 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter