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Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“
Margin 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks +9 (116-107). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 44 10-24 5-11 6-6 10 6 1 1 5 31 20 -
Dwight Howard * 37 8-11 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 1 2 20 16 -
Metta World Peace * 33 7-15 3-6 6-7 6 0 2 1 2 23 15 -
Chris Duhon * 29 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 3 4 -
Antawn Jamison * 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
Devin Ebanks 33 5-11 0-3 5-6 5 1 0 0 2 15 8 -
Jodie Meeks 28 3-11 2-9 4-4 4 0 0 1 1 12 5 -
Robert Sacre 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jordan Hill 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Earl Clark 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jason Kidd * 38 1-2 1-2 2-2 9 5 2 0 1 5 18 -
Tyson Chandler * 35 5-5 0-0 8-14 4 2 2 1 1 18 21 -
Raymond Felton * 35 9-26 0-3 1-2 3 8 1 0 1 19 4 -
Ronnie Brewer * 26 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 6 6 -
Carmelo Anthony * 22 10-15 3-5 7-8 3 0 1 0 0 30 19 -
JR Smith 26 7-14 2-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 18 8 -
Steve Novak 25 4-5 4-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 12 14 -
Rasheed Wallace 12 3-5 2-4 0-2 3 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
Pablo Prigioni 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 0 5 -
James White 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter