Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +23 (113-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 31 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 13 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 31 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 22 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 17 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Hakim Warrick | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 29 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 21 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 19 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Lou Williams | 25 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Devin Harris | 24 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Mike Scott | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| John Jenkins | 4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter