Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +3 (99-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 33 | - |
| Danny Green * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 28 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Patty Mills | 6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Millsap * | 35 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 35 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 28 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Earl Watson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter