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Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 28.7% 71.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Margin 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—
Pythagorean 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 56.9% 43.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -7 (89-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Joakim Noah * 44 7-10 0-0 7-7 7 5 1 3 2 21 25 -
Luol Deng * 37 7-17 0-1 5-5 12 3 1 0 4 19 14 -
Marco Belinelli * 29 6-13 1-2 3-4 2 2 2 0 0 16 9 -
Nate Robinson * 27 5-12 2-6 2-2 0 4 0 0 2 14 4 -
Carlos Boozer * 25 1-6 0-0 3-4 6 2 0 0 2 5 5 -
Jimmy Butler III 29 4-8 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 9 6 -
Taj Gibson 25 2-6 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 0 0 6 10 -
Marquis Teague 20 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 4 2 0 1 6 7 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Evan Turner * 41 7-15 0-1 2-2 8 3 2 0 3 16 11 -
Jrue Holiday * 40 13-28 0-3 0-3 5 9 2 0 5 26 9 -
Thaddeus Young * 32 6-10 0-0 1-4 9 3 0 4 2 13 17 -
Jason Richardson * 31 2-9 2-6 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 6 4 -
Lavoy Allen * 29 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 2 2 6 9 -
Spencer Hawes 29 5-12 0-2 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 10 8 -
Nick Young 27 4-10 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 10 1 -
Arnett Moultrie 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Dorell Wright 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Maalik Wayns 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter