Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -7 (97-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 38 | 10-20 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey | 29 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Andre Drummond | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Corey Maggette | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Gee * | 38 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 32 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Pargo * | 27 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 28 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Donald Sloan | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| CJ Miles | 15 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Omri Casspi | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter