Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +13 (92-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 41 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 40 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 34 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Maalik Wayns | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 23 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Green | 22 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Jared Sullinger | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Courtney Lee | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter