Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -30 (102-132). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 25 | 10-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Danny Green * | 24 | 8-10 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 25 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 18 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 16 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Patty Mills | 15 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| James Anderson | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bismack Biyombo * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 31 | 9-18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 25 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 23 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Byron Mullens | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Hakim Warrick | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Cory Higgins | 5 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter