Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -4 (97-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 38 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| David Lee * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 29 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Carl Landry | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Draymond Green | 23 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 40 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 24 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| AJ Price * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 34 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 25 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter