Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +18 (117-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Brown * | 40 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 29 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Luis Scola | 23 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Wesley Johnson | 7 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 28 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 19 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Willie Green * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 32 | 8-19 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 3 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 28 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter