Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +9 (91-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Davis * | 40 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 38 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 36 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| JJ Redick | 34 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| DeQuan Jones | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 23 | - |
| John Salmons * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 19 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 28 | 5-10 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 24 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 21 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
* = starter