Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +15 (108-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 31 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 26 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 26 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 24 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 14 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Hakim Warrick | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings * | 35 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 27 | 7-11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 19 | 7-17 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Doron Lamb | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| John Henson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Joel Przybilla | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tobias Harris | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter