Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +18 (91-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson Varejao * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Pargo * | 16 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Donald Sloan | 31 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| CJ Miles | 23 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | -2 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Omri Casspi | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Jones | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Samardo Samuels | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Luke Walton | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Love * | 35 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 14-18 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 29 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Malcolm Lee * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 23 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Josh Howard | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter