Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -7 (89-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 40 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 35 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 25 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Anderson * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Xavier Henry * | 20 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 29 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jason Smith | 27 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Darius Miller | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 25 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter