Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (104-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martell Webster * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| AJ Price * | 29 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 31 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 27 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Earl Barron | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 41 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 39 | 8-22 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 37 | 9-20 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 29 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Lou Williams | 16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| John Jenkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter