Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (89-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 35 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 30 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 28 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Andre Miller | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 37 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Paul George * | 34 | 9-15 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| David West * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sam Young | 16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gerald Green | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter