Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +1 (95-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 9-24 | 1-8 | 8-12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 9 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 43 | 1-12 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 42 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 30 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Green | 28 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Courtney Lee | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jared Sullinger | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Turner * | 44 | 10-26 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 44 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 43 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 41 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter