Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +22 (112-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 27 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 17 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Vince Carter | 23 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Elton Brand | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Darren Collison | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bernard James | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dominique Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 23 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Willie Green * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 31 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 23 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 19 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter