Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -7 (97-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 38 | 9-13 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 22 | - |
| David Lee * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Carl Landry | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 23 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Draymond Green | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 34 | 10-18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 23 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey | 30 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Andre Drummond | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Corey Maggette | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 19 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
* = starter