Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +10 (104-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Love * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 6-12 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Malcolm Lee * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 27 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 23 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 26 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 25 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Green | 22 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Courtney Lee | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jared Sullinger | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Kris Joseph | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter