Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +2 (107-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Duhon * | 38 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 34 | 14-31 | 2-9 | 9-12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 15 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8-16 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Earl Clark | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Darius Morris | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 37 | 3-19 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 34 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 30 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 28 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Greg Smith | 24 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter