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2012-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 4.6% 95.4% +12.8 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 11.9% 88.1% - โœ“
Margin 7.4% 92.6% +13.9 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.6% 77.4% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +10 (108-98). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Goran Dragic * 43 8-15 1-3 2-4 2 7 2 0 3 19 12 -
Marcin Gortat * 35 3-4 0-0 5-6 7 4 1 1 0 11 20 -
Michael Beasley * 29 3-13 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 6 -4 -
Shannon Brown * 22 5-11 0-2 0-0 0 0 2 1 4 10 -2 -
Markieff Morris * 15 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
Luis Scola 37 7-15 0-0 2-4 8 2 3 0 1 16 13 -
Jared Dudley 30 4-7 3-4 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 13 10 -
P.J. Tucker 23 0-1 0-0 4-4 6 2 1 0 0 4 12 -
Jermaine O'Neal 17 6-10 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 2 12 5 -
Diante Garrett 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 3 1 0 2 1 3 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 44 5-12 0-2 4-6 7 2 2 3 4 14 12 -
Zach Randolph * 44 15-22 0-0 8-8 22 0 1 3 3 38 39 -
Mike Conley * 42 2-9 1-3 6-8 5 1 2 0 3 11 7 -
Marc Gasol * 37 7-13 0-1 0-0 9 4 1 1 2 14 14 -
Wayne Ellington * 23 3-9 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 7 -1 -
Quincy Pondexter 37 4-9 2-6 6-9 3 1 1 0 2 16 10 -
Darrell Arthur 21 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 2 2 6 3 -
Jerryd Bayless 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Marreese Speights 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter