Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +10 (108-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 43 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 29 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Luis Scola | 37 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 30 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 17 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Diante Garrett | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 44 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 44 | 15-22 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 39 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 42 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 37 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter