Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -4 (76-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 40 | 14-25 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 23 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| George Hill * | 36 | 3-16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| David West * | 35 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sam Young | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Green | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 41 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nate Robinson | 24 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marquis Teague | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter