Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -6 (111-117). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 42 | 9-16 | 2-2 | 12-12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 28 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 37 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Nick Collison | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Eric Maynor | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 42 | 8-21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 41 | 10-20 | 5-9 | 8-10 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 24 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 37 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 25 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 29 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 11 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Childress | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter