Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (113-110). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Bargnani * | 40 | 10-20 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 6 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ed Davis | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Jose Calderon | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Amir Johnson | 15 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| John Lucas III | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 28 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Andre Miller | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 9-16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 20 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 15 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter