Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -10 (103-113). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vučević * | 40 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 40 | 11-18 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 38 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| JJ Redick | 29 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| DeQuan Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 9-21 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 38 | 12-27 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 18 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 36 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Darius Morris * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 29 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Antawn Jamison | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Devin Ebanks | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter