Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +7 (106-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Gortat * | 41 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 21 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 25 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Luis Scola | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Felton * | 39 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 37 | 11-27 | 4-10 | 8-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 14 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| JR Smith | 37 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Steve Novak | 31 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter