Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +11 (103-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| David West * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Paul George * | 29 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Sam Young | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Gerald Green | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 43 | 8-23 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 4 | - |
| David Lee * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Carl Landry | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 24 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Draymond Green | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter