Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +35 (116-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Thornton * | 38 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| John Salmons * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 16 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 15 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Travis Outlaw | 9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Francisco Garcia | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| James Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 22 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 21 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 29 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 25 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter