Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +8 (124-116). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 37 | 10-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 35 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 32 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 30 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Alec Burks | 14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Earl Watson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Parsons * | 39 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| James Harden * | 39 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 35 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 34 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 33 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Greg Smith | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 16 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter