Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +5 (93-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Turner * | 42 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 40 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 38 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Maalik Wayns | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 42 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 41 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 22 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Nate Robinson | 11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter