Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -1 (117-118). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 46 | 7-15 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 45 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 44 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 43 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 34 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Will Barton | 12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 12 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson Varejao * | 46 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 38 | 9-17 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Pargo * | 35 | 3-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 35 | 4-17 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Daniel Gibson | 29 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Omri Casspi | 19 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Donald Sloan | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
* = starter