Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +13 (102-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 39 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 23 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Evans | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Josh Childress | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyshawn Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 36 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 14-20 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 23 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 17 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Norris Cole | 29 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ray Allen | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Mike Miller | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dexter Pittman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Terrel Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter