Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +10 (95-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 36 | 8-22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 35 | 6-19 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| John Henson * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 19 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Larry Sanders | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 27 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 22 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Doron Lamb | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joel Przybilla | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ridnour * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 30 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 4-7 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 32 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 23 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter