Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +12 (106-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 39 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 30 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 28 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 15 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Alec Burks | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Earl Watson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 39 | 6-18 | 3-5 | 8-10 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 30 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Nick Collison | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Eric Maynor | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter