Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +12 (90-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey | 27 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Andre Drummond | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Corey Maggette | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 39 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 34 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 31 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
* = starter